Continuous latent representations for modeling precipitation with deep learning (Papers Track)

Gokul Radhakrishnan (Verisk Analytics); Rahul Sundar (Verisk, India); Nishant Parashar (Verisk Analytics); Antoine Blanchard (Verisk); Daiwei Wang (Verisk Analytics); Boyko Dodov (Verisk Analytics)

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Extreme Weather Generative Modeling

Abstract

The sparse and spatio-temporally discontinuous nature of precipitation data presents significant challenges for simulation and statistical processing for bias correction and downscaling. These include incorrect representation of intermittency and extreme values (critical for hydrology applications), Gibbs phenomenon upon regridding, and lack of fine scales details. To address these challenges, a common approach is to transform the precipitation variable nonlinearly into one that is more malleable. In this work, we explore how deep learning can be used to generate a smooth, spatio-temporally continuous variable as a proxy for simulation of precipitation data. We develop a normally distributed field called pseudo-precipitation (PP) as an alternative for simulating precipitation. The practical applicability of this variable is investigated by applying it for downscaling precipitation from 1\degree (\(\sim\) 100 km) to 0.25\degree (\(\sim\) 25 km).