Short-term Hourly Streamflow Prediction with Graph Convolutional GRU Networks

Sit, Muhammed  A; Demiray, Bekir; Demir, Ibrahim

Short-term Hourly Streamflow Prediction with Graph Convolutional GRU Networks (Papers Track)

Muhammed A Sit (The University of Iowa); Bekir Demiray (The University of Iowa); Ibrahim Demir (The University of Iowa)

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Disaster Management and Relief Climate Science & Modeling Computer Vision & Remote Sensing Interpretable ML Time-series Analysis

Abstract

The frequency and impact of floods are expected to increase due to climate change. It is crucial to predict streamflow, consequently flooding, in order to prepare and mitigate its consequences in terms of property damage and fatalities. This paper presents a Graph Convolutional GRUs based model to predict the next 36 hours of streamflow for a sensor location using the upstream river network. As shown in experiment results, the model presented in this study provides better performance than the persistence baseline and a Convolutional Bidirectional GRU network for the selected study area in short-term streamflow prediction.